Wednesday, May 13, 2009

My Take

After watching all the exit polls, my gut feeling is ,

YSR will get comfortible majority.

Only thing to be worried now, is , whether NDA will be back in center.

60 hours to go. Get Ready for some champagne and celebrations.

JAI HO YSR.

196 comms:

Jagan Anna said...

no doubt abot comfortable majority....

Jagan Anna said...

Tv9 results? anybody

mad4ys said...

your analysis the thread makes complete sense.. no idea why tv9 is not coming out with results

Killer said...

tv9 says prp will decide who is cm in ap

kishore said...

as per my sources TV9 has not done any exit polls.
NTV is going to come with exit polls may be tomorrow.

kishore said...

Killer,
TV9 is simply repeating what national media is saying which is more likely HUNG verdict

Hari Vankdoth said...

http://www.travelindia-guide.com/elections-indian-lok-sabha/election09-exit-polls.php

Jagan Anna said...

i dont think its hung...no one is sayin for sure hung ani other then one channel...most of them r sayin when it comes to MLA seats margins r very close so its tough to call ani but still congress has edge ani...

In any situation we are formin govt with comft. majority

RK said...

the intricacies of kostha caste politics is somethings these exit polls will not be able to FULLY capture ..

which makes me belive that we will get 15-20 more than what these guys predict ..

We will get 150 minimum ..

Killer said...

PRP will take suppport for assembly and give UPA support in centre be happy

Jagan Anna said...

did TV9 predict tht yerram will loose ani?

mad4ys said...

it was part of their analysis

Shikar said...

Sunita akka cheppindi. Akka chepte adhi avvuddi. But akka chala saarlu NBK cinema hit ani chppindi, but they flop most of the times. Ee analysis choodatam waste emo, but this is what akka has come up with.

PRP 39
CONG 75
TDP 136
TRS 22
commus :11

Killer said...

congress own survey predicts 18 LS for Cong and 1 for MIM

Killer said...

http://media1.itgo.in/indiatoday/images/Projection_by_Congress.pdf

mad4ys said...

emo ee exit kante varna devudini nammukotam manchidi. its beginning to rain in hyd. full urumulu and merupulu

Jagan Anna said...

Shikar babu....

if u can kindly kp ur mouth shut...it willbe gud....even after exit polls if u want live in "Fools Paradise" go ahead....

atleast now realise tht ur dreams have completly crashed.....

krishna said...

@mad4ys
where's it raining mad4ys? in kukatpally area,its dry...!!!

CD said...

eee haters mentality artham kaadu..what do they want to achieve by posting anti ysr/cong remarks in a pro cong website?? eee sunakaanandam enduku..why don't u guys just walk away or just be silent spectators..

krishna said...

yes....wht mad4ys said is right....it started raining now all of a sudden though just small rain drops....SUBHAM!!!!

CD said...

and there are some people who watch the proceedings all the time and jump in with their friendly gestures the moment they see some negativity in the posts..

RK said...

CD ..

Somewhere, they love us ..

that is why they keep coming back ..

give the love back to them ..

Shikar said...

Jagan anna gaaru, 2004 lo exit polls anni CBN gelustadu ani annayi. But emi ayyindi? Exit polls anni TPR ratings penchukovataanike. I don't want to get complacent. I am preparing myself for the worst case situation. Even if there is a news on 17th morning that Congress is not able to form the govt I don't want our team to faint and feel 'ouch' kind of thing. Win or loose Congress is our party, no jumpings after the elections.

mad4ys said...

in banjara hills is heavy rain

Killer said...

@Krishna

Kukatpally lo JP a leka VNR ??????

miru KP lo ekkada undedi

donny said...

centre lo UPA
state lo ysr
ramoji gundello PRP

Killer said...

@RK

frankly agree with what you say may not be all your blog visitors but most of the bloggers here :)

Shikar said...

baabu Donnny, elections taruvaatha PRP vundadu le.

krishna said...

kukatpally going to JP for sure....i myself asked so many of my neighbors for whom they have voted...surprisingly most of them replied JP ....may be my sample quality wrong but if its right,JP will have the definite advantage

krishna said...

@all
I hope our party member,Lord Varuna, expressing his joy and showering his blessings on us .... a good prognostic factor...!!! cheer up...!!!

Killer said...

hammmayya na vote waste kaledhu .....
and oka goonda MLA ni assembly ki ellanivvakunda chesa

ABCD said...

CD - See, RK got it right :)

On serious note, I don't jump in only when when you sounded negative as you claimed....may be yesterday was one exception....I posted many posts whenever you were in upbeat mood too....So, that's a baseless allegation.

Killer said...

@ABCD

ya exactly nenu ide antunna...

miru ekkada i mean e constituency lo votesaru ?

donny said...

shikhar

ramoji gundeloo Prp (rail engine)


haahahaha

ABCD said...

Killer - I am in US...so could not vote!

Shikar said...

Dear Donny, I understood now :-)

Jai Ho Congress

Killer said...

@ABCD

emi chestuntaru ?

Sarma said...

Velladdaroo edaina Gay website ki vellochchu kada meet avvataniki :)

Shikar said...

Jai Ho Congress, Jai Ho Chinnamma. Chinnamma is going to be the CM.

CD said...
This post has been removed by the author.
Killer said...

@Sarma

naku nuvvu picha pichaga nachavu

RK said...

shikar

chinnamma evaru ?

Sarma said...

Killer,
naa guess correct ani prove chesaaru :)

Shikar said...

Sarma - Nuvvu Gay ane word chala free gaa use chestu vuntavu anukunta. I have seen it before in couple of other posts by you. Enti emanna tedaa naa nuvvu. Retort ivvataaniki cheyyi anthe kaani anavasaram gaa vetakaaralu enduku brother? Lite teesuko, don't read my posts.

CD said...
This post has been removed by the author.
Sarma said...

:) Gummadi kaaya dongalu :)

Killer said...

@sarma

adadani problem thoti adadanike ardham avthundi annattu......

na guess kuda correct e ayyindi :)

mad4ys said...

chinnamma ante purandeshwari anukunta

Shikar said...

Obvious statement ichi malla gummadi kaaya dongalu ani retort ento. Konehem teda case guru nuvvu.

RK - Chinnamma ante Purandareswari.

Sarma said...

:) Killer garu good one. I am not offended if you call me anything. YOu were not offended, I am guessing. Thats the spirit.

Emaina teda unnva valle irritate avutaaru :)

Killer said...

@sarma

sarma garu mi korika meraku mana blog ki vachestunna.....ade satire corner

RK said...

chinnamma ante puran aa ??

u guys never dissappoint shikar ..

CD said...

@RK, Chinamma is Purandhareshwari..

Shikhar is Kammani congress fan..Rayapati, Kavuri and Chinamma are better leaders than YSR in congress ani cheppaddu...naaku argument chaala reasonable anipinchindhi..

ABCD said...

Chinnamma (Purandareswari) is not CM material yet! Long way for her to go...

As far as AP Congress is considered, YSR has no alternative....DS is a distant second....rest are just followers.

Killer - I am a Management consultant (Operations side).

Sarma - Please be decent.

Sarma said...

Killer, very welcome :)

Killer said...

@sarma

nagurinchi inkaa telidu anukunta nenu picha lite tiskunta.....

offennded NO WAY

aallways right spirit......
na uddesam lo being gay is not wrong or for that matter anything is not wring until unless u hurt someone....
and e words antava nannu e blog lo atleast 10 timess count cheyala fuck off annaru....they are just words....

prabhakar said...

Donny that is good one

Shikar said...

Chinnamma is a very good speaker and came out of the family and fighting for the survival of congress in Prakasam (which has been a TDP football court). Also, she can impress with her style then YSR who can't speak even telugu properly.

Killer said...

@ABCD

lite tisko guru

Sarma said...

Killer,
I know this. Anduke neeke direct reply istha if you observed....

Killer said...

inka na valla kaadu bosss
good nighttttttttss.here
good day for some of u bye

RK said...

shikar ..

we dont need Puran ..

u can take her to TDP if needed ..

talking skills -- vundavalli beats her hands down any day ..

again,
we dont need Puran ..

ABCD said...

She is a good speaker, no doubt. But so are people like Parakala, Vundavalli etc., That does n't qualify them to be CMs.

CD said...

>>>Chinnamma is a very good speaker and came out of the family and fighting for the survival of congress in Prakasam

Very true..Now she went to vizag and saved congress from the clutches of prp..with her vizag effect even srikakulam and vizianagaram turned pro congress..overall puran made entire north coastal pro congress..and daggubati made entire south coastal pro congress..they definitely deserve a chance..valid point..

Shikar said...

Ammo Sarma gaaru,

/*** I know this. Anduke neeke direct reply istha if you observed.... ***/

Nuvvu konchem complicated guru. Anyway, enjoyingaa blogging lo. Nuvvu life lo first elections follow avutunnatlu vunnavu. Results taruvaatha, please don't get upset.

Malli Mana YSR said...

babu churaku shikar...bjp varun gandhi ki ivvadaniki...congress puran ki ivvadaniki theda ledu....ooo vuhinchukoni YSR tho comaring seyyamaka..bed meeda vuguthu vage chitak na kondegallu vunnaremo susuko..

prabhakar said...

ABCD,

Ara beeru kick inka digaleda,
comedy gaa.how is your day more optimistic about your leader is going to win.Your leadre do not believe and neither i.wait for 16.

prabhakar said...

JAAGRATHA BROTHERS,

Hyenas may attack us

Shikar said...

Yeah, why not Vundavalli. I only mentioned the leaders from Krishna/Guntur. Vundavalli has the qualities to be CM, another PV Narasimha Rao in the making.

Sarma said...

Prabhakar garu,
Hyenas ki bhyapadedi ledu. Idi Simhala adda.

ABCD said...

>>....how is your day more optimistic about your leader is going to win.Your leadre do not believe and neither i.wait for 16.

Prabhakar - Truly, I did not get what you actually meant in this post. What is that you wanted to convey?

prabhakar said...

Shikar,Killer and ABCD are hyneas,

jeevitham ante vetadame,hyneas nakki nakki bhojanam cheyadame.

Shikar said...

Prabhakar gaaritho nenu ninna anna beer taagataani veltunna ani, adhi ABCD tho confuse ayyi natlu vunnaru.

Anyway Prabhakar gaaru, ara beer lo half taagithe kuda kick vuntunda andi?

Srikanth said...

guys, please be cool and don't argue... blog is getting filled more with arguments than some informative talks... please restrain from going at each other...

Shikar said...

Dear RK, thanks for opening a topic on my id.

prabhakar said...

comprehensive test, ardham kakapothe alochinchadu.

DBN aka CBN aka Babu do not believe on exit polls neither do i.All exit polls are favouring TDP.he should be very optimistic.Mounam gaa nindu kundathnakanatlu unnadu.

CD said...
This post has been removed by the author.
CD said...

Yogendra yadav just reflected what I was mentioning this morning..

Q: One was expecting the Congress to actually fare worse than 2004 but you’re saying that they’re not being dented in Andhra Pradesh?

A: The Congress is faring worse than 2004. However, in 2004, if you take them with their allies, they had 34 seats, so they clearly coming down substantially from there. But, I think, coming of Prajarayam Party seems to have damaged both Congress and TDP equally. Now, when you’re damaged equally whoever was ahead tends to remain ahead and that’s what it seems has happened. In Telangana, it is a very close contest between grand alliance and the Congress, in Lok Sabha Congress may have an advantage but in the rest of the state, Congress has a clear edge. In Lok Sabha, therefore, we expect the Congress to emerge as the largest party.

Shikar said...

I used to like YSR but after he named the Hyderabad airport after Rajeev (rememeber the bofors guy?) instead of some one from Andhra, that pissed me off. If it has to be named after a congress person, then it should been after PV or ideally it should have been after NTR.

RK said...

shikar

buzz off now ..

Prasad said...

Shikar is 100% kamma. We can safely ignore his comments.

Sarma said...

CD I am a bit confused. Can you review the following and correct it if it is wrong...

/*
In Telangana, it is a very close contest between grand alliance and the Congress, in Lok Sabha Congress may have an advantage but in the rest of the state, Congress has a clear edge*/

Why there is a "but"??

prabhakar said...

shikar,abcd, tom, dicky and harry,

Manushulu verina maata okkate, do not get confused that i am getting confused, raathri chukka wine thaaga. Any how motthan gaa hung assembly exit poll but i predict our leader become CM.

Sarma said...

Ok, CD I think I got it. I use misinterpreted your punctuation.

In other words, in Telanaga close fight and in MP seats congress has edge. But rest of the state congress has clear edge.

Basivi Reddy said...

TV9 came up with district wise counts..do not know why they are not releasing..

I have seen their analysis on 4 districts ( WG,Krishna,Guntur and prakasam)..out of 60

Cong-26
TDP-22
PRP-12

RamanaHS said...

I Like abcd/shikar/killer spirit
fight for the last vote,, just like cbn said,, wait for the last vote to be counted.

same attitude.
but on the loosing side

CD said...

Sarma gaaru, rephrased it now..

In Telangana it is a very close contest between grand alliance and the Congress..Congress may have an advantage... but in the rest of the state, Congress has a clear edge

Point is in Telangana Congress has slight advantage and in the rest of the state clear advantage..

Sarma said...

Basivi garu,
how did you get those district analyses?

That does not seem to correlate with NDTV predictions. :) Here we go again. Everyone has their own flavor... Can't wait for May 16th

Basivi Reddy said...

in regional channels only Sakshi has done some decent exit poll survey...remaining all r dependent on National channels

iNews--Times Now
MahaaTV--Vadikee theliyali..pedda Sodhi channel
NTV and TV9- Repeatedly telecasting the CNN-IBN and NDTV surveys

TV5 and ETV2--Okadu Manthena Satyanaraya Raju program pettadu inkokadu Usha Parinayam anta... even no scrolling of exit polls...

Shikar said...

Idiots on nandamurifans.com talking trash :- http://www.nandamurifans.com/forum/m-51911/

Sarma said...

Thanks CD garu. I think general impression is MK is not gaining in Telangana, as propagandized by people.

Basivi Reddy said...

Sarma garu, as per inside information TV9 done exit poll survey..do not know the exact reason for not telecasting..

Yesterday I met NTV guy, as per their news TV9 got 140-150 for Cong.

CD said...

>>>That does not seem to correlate with NDTV predictions. :) Here we go again. Everyone has their own flavor...

Sarma gaaru, I was talking to Srikanth on the same..In coastal for loksabha it's a congress sweep..but in vidhansabha it's a very closely fought battle..I'd be happy with the tv9 count in those 4 districts..albeit 4 or 5 more..

Valmiki said...

Sharma garu,

He says that in telangana neck and neck contest but congress has advantage in loksabha. But in coastal andhra and rayalaseema congress has clear edge in both assembly and loksabha.

Basivi Reddy said...

yes, TV9 vadu chepthunnadu..no impact of PRP on Cong in Guntur and West Godavari..but Krishna and Prakasam cong ki damage ayyindi ani..

Basivi Reddy said...

first TIMES NOW report vachhindi, so MK batch antha full hadavudi chesaru..mails spreading and then after one hour Star news then CNN-IBN and latest NDTV debbatho they got conclusion "EXIT POLLS NU NAMMODDU" ani..

Valmiki said...

One more thing I believe congress will be in 2nd positions in many seats where it loosing which gives advantage for MP elections.

So I agree with CD that assembly seats are keenly contested and the margines will be less.

Sarma said...

Valmiki,
that is expected in 3-way fight.
Ammebly lo 1 lakh unte, two way contest may give 10-30K majority. If it is three way then majority may be less than 5K votes.

Valmiki said...

Returning officers will do fraud in counting and be careful -- CBN to party workers.

Asalu CBN emi matladuthunnado -(

Basivi Reddy said...

last 4 days lo CBN statements

1)MK thappani sariga gelustundi
2)Gelupu otamaluku siddapadandi
3)BP vunnollu 16th na TV lu chuddoddu(TDP karyakathalunu uddesinchi)
4)Counting agents nu Congress vallu kontaru..Jagrathha
5)Exit Polls pattinchhokovaddu.

CBN kanna Balayaa chala better anipinchadu

Sarma said...

What the heck. Ee poll pundits kooda entha scientific ga chesaaro telidu.
Here is an astrolger's prediction:

http://www.akhilandhra.com/playvideo-2194.html

Venu Reddy said...

CBN Ki , Ramoji Ki already Mind Block ayindi ..

EENADU vadi ki pedda netrork vundi ga ... where is his Survay?


Jai Ho..

Sarma said...

Venu Garu,
he already gave his surveys. 125 Phase 1 and 100 phase 2 for "Magaa Kootami". Not sure about the phase 2 number.

ABCD said...

Did Eenadu really say 125 in Phase-1? I thought they said 90-100 range...

Samanth said...

Sarma garu, oka interesting point gamaninchara...caste polarisation has not happened as much as we thought it would.....atleast the figures projected by NDTV seem to suggest that....is there a message we have in these elections ? Did we overestimate caste consolidation ?

Also NDTV was fairly on the dot last time, they predicted almost accurately.....I will probably say 29 is on the higher side, but if Chiranjeevi is getting 18% then he has hurt TDP also badly...if he were to be stuck at 8-10%, he would have hurt Congress badly (Kapu vote would for sure have been in that 8-10%)

Net/Net, if Chiranjeevi did do as well as NDTV says, 29 is not surprising...

Sarma said...

Samanth,
my personal opinion is these polls are some time times right and other times wrong. Can't rely too much into details. But they are good indication of trends. Trend looks like Advantage congress.

I am still eagerly waiting for 16th... But more optimistic and confident now

Shikar said...

Baabulu, PRP ki 16 to 18 kanna ekkuva raavu but congress ki bane bokka pedathadu sirio gaadu. sirio gaadi punyama ani EG/WG/Guntur/Krishna lo Congress chala gaddu paristhithulo vundi.

Valmiki said...

I am surprised seeing that only 45% kammas are voting for TDP and 38% kapus are voting for PRP.

I expected more.

ABCD said...

>>>I am surprised seeing that only 45% kammas are voting for TDP and 38% kapus are voting for PRP.

Valmiki - Same here. To me, they don't seem to be correct.

Sarma said...

Valmiki garu,
Yes that is surprising thing to me about kammas. Kapus % does not surprise me. Ask any Kapu , he will tell that they do not have unity. That is true to big extent.

Re: kammas, They do tend to be very united. Only Vysyas are the other caste that has that kind of unity.
But one thing I can tell you.

It is very interesting. But again how do these pollster know these details. Who is going to say to a 3rd person that he is kamma and he is not voting TDP ???

Sarma said...

I mean if you go to any other news websites like thatstelugu or topandhra, TDP people will post pro-TDP comments with "Reddy" names.

So what is the guarantee that the people that these pollsters talk to, do not lie ??

Shikar said...

Actually Kammas are not united like Reddy community. Kamma vallalo internal gaa chala godavalu vuntayyi. Antha enduku Congress lo entha mandi Kamma vallu leru. Useless conversation.

ABCD said...

Hope all these media houses that are coming up with conflicting exit poll results learned something from their failures in 2004.

http://www.dancewithshadows.com/exit_polls.asp

Sarma said...
This post has been removed by the author.
Prasad said...

Only one example of Potash batch behaviour. Kamma heroes have fan following from all castes. Show one Potash gadu supporting non kamma hero.

Veellani janthuvulatho poliste janthuvulu badhapadatayi.

Sarma said...

:) I saw reddys killing reddys. e.g. Vemana killing Y.S.Raja

I saw Reddys killing kamma and vice versa. e.g. Paritala and Gangula families.

I saw Kapu and kamma killing each other e.g. Devineni and Vangaveeti

Never saw Kamma killing Kamma
(May be I am wrong, CBN killed NTR :)

Shikar said...

Just one - Gottipati H & Karanam B
And you can see lot in Vijayawada.

Shikar said...

That's why I said, you may be very new to politics and learing from this blog. Before you met this blog had you been on a TDP blog you would have a TDP follower.

CD said...

>>>Actually Kammas are not united like Reddy community. Kamma vallalo internal gaa chala godavalu vuntayyi

lol..reddies lo unity vunte tdp chapter eppudo close ayyedhi..adhi lekane ee kastaalu..I feel kammas are more united than reddies..

Prasad said...

TDP and potash batch can bark all they want. Come May 16th YSR will be CM.

Bet kattandi ra ante dammu leni vedhavalu ippududu vagadam.

Thu mee bathukulu

Prasad said...

Reddys lo unity unte kamma batch inko 100 years CM seat kuda chudaleru. potash should thank their lucky stars that reddys are not united.

Shikar said...

Adhe kamma vallu help cheyyaka pothe Siro gaadu eppudo history. Ippatiki kuda Sirio gaadiki help chestundi Royals ee.

ABCD said...

Prasad - Please don't bash the entire caste becoz of one or few....

Let us see what happens on May 16th...

ABCD said...

Shikar & Prasad - I think what you both are missing is - Both R & K castes are playing key roles in TDP & INC.

In Seema & T, where K population is less - its R leaders that are playing imp roles in TDP.

In Coastal - its K leaders that have been playing critical roles in INC.

Prasad said...

ABCD,

I got carried away because one covert potash gadu keluktunnadu. We had to put him in his place.

Now I am back to normal. I can't wait for 16th as bolli gadu will be out.

Shikar said...

I am not Kamma

Shikar said...

I am a Royal :-)

RK said...

this blog has now come full circle ..

:) :)

Prasad said...

I hope YSR rules for next 5 years with keeping Jagan in mind. If he plans properly Jagan can be next CM. It will be awesome.

donny said...

May 14,2004 to may 14,2009

Congrats Tiger YSR for 5 years non stop rule!

Jai YSR Jai Jai YSR!

RamanaHS said...

@shikar /abcd

Will cbn says dont believe in exit polls, if ndtv,cnn predicts 29 mp seats to tdp

ABCD said...

RamanHS - There are some media houses that already came up with favorable exit poll results to MK as well (like iNews, TimesNow etc.,). So, that question is irrelevant...is n't it?

Shikar said...

That's what I am saying, don't read too much into exit polls. There could be surprises on 16th evening and it can be really bad for Congress. Looking at NTV analysis that only 40% Kapus supported PRP you can understand how poor our statistics are. I can bet 95% of Kapus voted for Sirio. TDP has done very well because of Sirio and Feekay.

Prasad said...

Sure compare NDTV, CNN IBN with inews, bochu news etc. Potash gallu inka kalalu kantu unnaru.

ABCD said...

Prasad - Do you know what NDTV & CNN-IBN exit poll results are for 2004? If you know, you would n't have said that.

Prasad said...

Inews meeda antha nammakam unte 10,000 USD bet ki ready. Any takers?

Congress will get majority on 16th. Bet ki ready ga unte postandi. Bet katukundam. Anthe kani, extralu vaddu.

Prasad said...

I archived NDTV projections in 2004 about both AP and center. he predicted congress will come to power in both. Do you have any other info?

RamanaHS said...

abcd/shikar

meelo asha inka chavaledu
same with cbn

at central, UPA will form govt 100%

at state,,have to wait 2 more days
as nobody want to predict actual results as nobody want to get blame if thier predictions go wrong.local channells are affliated to thier respective parties
central channels need not to be favorable to any party,, they bank on thier credibility.
I believe both of you including killer will have no words on 16 afternoon.
Till then have your say,,,

Prasad said...

Read and weep potash batch.

http://www.thehindu.com/2004/04/28/stories/2004042809200100.htm

ABCD said...

Prasad - NDTV exit poll in 2004 is NDA - 230-250 & UPA -->190-205. Is n't it? If you have something else, please give it.

BTW, Bet, bet anadam easy...logistics work out kaaka vadilesaam as we don't know each other face to face & we don't have any common friends.

But anyway, one of our credibility will be gone on 16th May. I am just waiting to see who that is going to be.

ABCD said...

Prasad - If you don't stop calling silly names, I will have to use the same language too. I don't want to hurt many others on this blog...or else, it is a matter of few key strokes....

RK said...

guys

no more caste abuse pls ..

ABCD said...
This post has been removed by the author.
Prasad said...

ABCD, go ahead take your best shot. Poyi mee nandamuri pandi vamsham blogs chaduvuko poyi. Nenu postina link chadivi adi tappithe cheppu.

Extralu vaddamma. Bet santhi enti? Bhayama?

ABCD said...

Prasad - the link you posted is for Assembly results...Did NDTV publish their assembly exit poll numbers for 2009 yet? Compare apples to apples...

donny said...

Prasad Gaaru!

Kevvv Kaataar

Rabhcik Rabchik Rambola!

Venu Reddy said...

Sharma garu ,

Bonthu Nagireddy post almost alligning to this poll.

This is what he said earlier :

NTV exit poll: Congress will win 86 out of 140 in second phase.

TDP survey (done by Narayana Group of Schools): In second phase (out of 140), Cong - 72, Mahakutami - 39, PRP - 24, Others - 5. In first phase, Congress will win 63 and Kutami will win 72. MIM - 7 and rest others.

Eenadu survey (from very reliable sources) - Out of 42 MP seats, Congress will win 33 and
Mahakutami will win 7, PRP - 1 and MIM - 1.

In assembly, Congress will win 145 to 155 seats.

Intelligence reports: First phase - Congress will win 65 and in second phase Congress will win 90.

May be thats why he is not posting any Exit poll..

Eenadu post all Crap like 125 1st phase etc to steer the people in the second phase.

Prasad said...

see even if my creditibility is gone, I will not be part of kula gajji kulam. That should be enough for me. Nee laga covert laga vachi vedava postlu veyyanu.

Read the Hindu link.

Bet sangithi logistics akkara ledu. Neeku ekkada India lo dabbu cherchalo cheppu. Repu evening oga cherutundi. Errip matalu vaddu. Bhayam ani cheppu. Vadilesta.

donny said...

ABCD,

Hi

ABCD said...

Prasad - Covert anna maataki ardham telusaa neeku?? Can you explain by what standards would I be called a covert?

Meaningless conversation...

RK said...

prasad

show some restraint ..

Prasad said...

Who cares about centre? Idi YSR and Jagan fan blog. Not Sonia blog. Literacy is a powerful tool. Learn to use it. The focus is AP elections here. Lets stick to AP. I could care less for Sonia and Advani.

sekhar reddy said...

Hi ABCD ,

we all baised every body here know .
we are fans of YSR ......
we never bother about casts. we only bother about congress should come ..
i ask simple question go and ask your grand pa & fathers . reddy are rulling that time this much caste feling & abusing there or not.... when actually it comes (last decade ) ....

before coming TDP how is politics , after how is politics ?

(ABCD , Myself)we both are not good persons compare to grand pa`s . they will tell truth .

why i am telling you is that
we had lot of wisdom but we never use for good cause .......

i am ready if you can for good cause like helping poor people , make a wish , akshya patra & helping students . i am ready to doante & help

i try to love you because i dont want to stupid eough to hate all people because of caste & religion..

this is my mail id : sekhar.inturi@gmail.com
i am from guntur .........

bye

Prasad said...

RK,

I am asking these guys for bet. If they can't bet, they can simply say they don't have guts. Why hide behind logistics, common friends etc?

Anyway, I am cool now. :-)

RamanaHS said...

shikar/abcd
for your consolation news

http://www.deccanchronicle.com/hyderabad/exit-polls-shake-naidu-099

ABCD said...

Prasad - You are still not getting. What NDTV published TODAY are Parliament exit poll results....NOT AP assembly!!

If you care only about Assembly results, you should wait till they publish their Assembly-wise exit results for 2009.

Anyway, got to leave...but will see you tomorrow...No abuses please!

Prasad said...

Go watch the NDTV online. They predicted AP to congress. I did not abuse you. But your buddy Shikar started it saying NTR's daughter is better choice for CM than YSR. So I had to do it.

Next time, come with facts. Not caste feelings.

CD said...

Guys, ABCD is a TDP guy..He should have gone away from pro cong blog..somehow he's adamant and sticks to this blog..not sure his intentions..let's just ignore him..don't abuse please..

Srikanth said...

friends,

i think most of us are so excited to see exit polls.. but i sincerely request to have some restrain and do healthy discussions here. No abuses please.. otherwise it will look like any other blog on the website.. and please don't go into argument with someone who is not supporting congress... discussing and expressing opinion is a right for any person, so as long as the opposite person don't provoke us don't go to abuses...

lets make this blog different than many of them there and control u'r excitement.

thanks...

Shikar said...

Bet ela kattacho voka saari selavu isthara Prasad gaaru? I am ready to bet, but how do you want to do it? Paypal is OK?

RamanaHS said...

prasad garu

nobody is ready to bet here,, its been long here i see abcd/shikar..etc same argument with other fans,, nobody is dare to bet,, ofcoure we are not here for betting.

what makes shikar/abcd never give up their attachment with their respecitve party is the same spirit that dramjoi using to fight aginst YSr.
Do you think dramji give after congress bagging AP again,,No, he comes with his own theries and the drama continues..
unless he goes to jail on fraud charges in his company.
No use of challenging them

sekhar reddy said...

HI Guys ,

we defnitely got 150 seats this elections .........

I personally want to continue this blog after pool result also ....

we should welcome all people comments ..

if people comment ugly we just tell them that`s enogh ....

JAI HO CONGRESS , JAI HO YSR

Prasad said...

Shikhar,
Neeku asalu paypal ante endo dani limits entho telusua?

The way to bet is to draw up a legal contract with a lawyer and put the escrow money. Whoever wins gets it.

Ready?

Prasad said...

I have taken Ramana and RKs advise. Lets not turn this blog into their blogs. Let talk something constructive.

Shikar said...

Contract lu lawyer lu ippudu kashtam, time ledu. We can do one thing, we can send money to a common person (like RK or Sarma) and winner will take it all. How about 200?

Shikar said...

Inko 15 mins lo laaginchestunna work nunchi. Eee roju kooda ara beerulo 1/2 kottali :-). Bet sangathi twaraga telchu annayya.

Prasad said...

Enti tammudu 200 ki tagginchsavu?

Shikar said...

Tagginchala, nenu start chesinde 200 daggara. annayya nuvvu inka pedda # cheppi naava? nenu chudala, nuvve cheppu entho.

Adarsh Reddy said...

If coastal sweep according to NDTV...
Then Vundavalli wins....
Ika raccha raccha goes on...

Shikar said...

Unfortunately Vundavalli gaaru gelevaru sir. Raaja guruvu gaaru 25 kotlu pampincharu elections mundala dolphin nunchi. But I personally like the guts of Vundavalli.

CD said...

Please stop placing bets on the results..emotions ni cash chesukovadame adhi..please stay away..

Prasad said...

If my calculations are correct, then TDP is done in Rayalaseema. Chiru has done immeasurable damage to TDP here. Becasue of Chiru's vote split, Congress is going to get, 90% assembly seats here.

As per Chittoor Dt youth secretary, 130 in AP is sure and we should win atleast 10 in the remaing 30-40 'too close to call' seats. YSR is well on his way to become CM again.

Jai Ho YSR.

CVReddy said...

Dear All,

Please stop using filthy language.
It is purely YS Fans website and those who are interested can come
And discuss.

Even If somebody provokes, please have some patience.
We loose nothing and we should bring good reputation to YS.

Let us wait till May 16th.

No betting, No hard feelings.
We are all brothers.
We should respect each other.

Shikar said...

Bets kattadam lo mana telugollaki vunna vyasanam. Ikkada casino la lo indians andaru slots aadukunta vunte mana vallu maatram poker lu black jack lu racha racha. Actually there is a very good player from Andhra who came 2nd in a Poker tournament a while back. Tappemundi bet kattukunte?

Sat said...

I am finding lot of difference in TV9 programs in this elecions compared to last elections..There are no great discussions, debates or programs with leaders..The analyzing turned pale..I feel even Ravi prakash programs lost charm....Even today after the curtains for exit polls have raised, TV9 hasn't come up with anything interesting...TV9 was lot more interesting in 2004 and unbiased...bros, do u also see the difference or its only my imagination ? I keep changing between TV9 and sakshi ..

RamanaHS said...

I dont know how far this is true from deccan

"The exit polls show that there was anti-incumbency, but Chiranjeevi’s Praja Rajayam saved the Congress by dividing the sentiment with the TD".

Sarma said...

I am ready to be the Escrow if anyone wants to bet. I will take money from both of you, put it in a bank account. Who ever wins, I will give it to you.
I will create a contract - 3 way. Contract can be made legal by using right words. I already spoke to a lawyer. My lawyer needs only 2 hours.

Shikar said...

Lawyer lu kooda anavasaram. I can trust you, it's only 200 bucks. Likewise if Prasad agrees on it, I can send it out in a bit.

Shikar said...

I like Ravi Prakash overall but he actually killed Parakala in the interview right after he resigned from Assam Party. He shouldn't have done that and actually should have given him a chance to explain.

Sarma said...

Aj gadi own survey (AJ readers poll)

http://www.andhrajyothy.com/mainshow.asp?qry=/2009/may/13main1

:)

Prasad said...

Ori nee,

200ki malli nammakam etc. Neeku 200 kavalante adugu istha. Bet kadithe koddiga oopu undali. Chillara bets kadu. Original bet is for 10000 USD.

RK said...

sarma garu

AJ gaadi survey choosi naakaithe navvu aagaledhu ..

donny said...

Prasad Gaaru,

Take it easy..!

RK said...

new post put ..

Shikar said...

Prasad annayya, nenu nijam gaa chudaledu 10000 bet ani. Katte sthomatha ledu brother. I didn't see any # (honestly), so I suggest a friendly 200 dollar bet. Guarantee gaa gelustanu, but antha dabbu maatram samakurchalenu.

RamanaHS said...

Sarma garu

funny survey
evadiki kaavali,, opinions of AJ readers

Adarsh Reddy said...

Shikhar
Chuskundama ...
Nuvvu polling station ki vellava?
Nenu vella Rajahmundrylo...
Chala? and Dramoji kharchu pettindi 30C ..
Mundu telusuko...

Shikar said...

ok naakanna inko 5 cr lu nuvvu ekkuva cheptunnavu. ee equation lo Vundavalli gaaru kashtam. I hate to say this. He didn't earn much money in 5 years and he concentrated only on attacking Raaja Guruvu during his 5 year term. I personally give lot of respect to PV gaaru and look at Vundavalli gaaru with the same regard. But there is no chance.

Sat said...

aa AJ vaadi survey ento..aa coupons publish cheyadamento..malli daanni people fill chesi pampiyademento...Radha krishna mind dobbindi..medhavi anukuntaadu chesevi okka pilladini kuda namminchaleni panulu...mana valla mundara mike petti adigithene cheppadaaniki baddakam..vote booth ki poyi vote vese vopika, time leka sogam mandi vellaru..alantidi veedi coupons vunna paper ni koni, chimpi, nimpi malli veediki post chesaranta..daanni veedu headlines vesi paper release cheyadam..why can't he atleast come up with something which would be believed by some 10 percent people..

Jagan Anna said...

Shikar.....

velli mee akka blog lo participate chesukovachu kada....y ru tryin to act soo much as thou u r a congress fan.....

Shikar said...

akkayya ee madhya sirio ni chusukuntundi eventhough feekay and sirio are out of the race. YSR news pedda raayatledu.

Sat said...

Hi Jagan anna..the problem is akka blog baga dull ayindi..akkada domalu tolukuntunnaru....Even SC akka kuda MK paina hopes vodulukundi and even its members stopped participating in discussion..anduke ikkadiki koncham entertainment ki vostunnaru..the same thing will happen with EEnadu and AJ after elections and people will fall on Sakshi..Sakshi is expecting atleast 10 percent to increase in its readers..

Jagan Anna said...

thanks Sat bro...for lettin me know y ppl like Shikar r comin to our blog...

Brahmananda Reddy Munagala said...

Ravindra,
Can you delete anty YSR guys comments against Sharma.

Killer said...

@RamanaHS

you got it wrong...

ye party win ayna i will have words...i will be normal

Honest_YSR_Fan said...

Sakshi news paper circulation is going to increase by 25% in the next 6-9 months due to their honesty and closer prediction of real results with surveys etc,.
There was a newspaper called - Dappunadu..read them for the last 3-4 weeks..predicted 125 for MK 1 1st phase + another 100 or something in 2nd phase..where is their junk survey...